Sean Paul Ashley @regimes.bsky.social

IR, Conflict @ University of Maryland

https://sites.google.com/view/seanashley

Reposted by Sean Paul Ashley
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Jennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social
2d
Not the main point here, but I do not ever recall a federal agency making significant programmatic and personnel changes as a result of the PRESIDENT'S BUDGET PROPOSAL, which does not change any law or funding allocations. Congress hasn't acted yet.

What are we doing here?
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Reposted by Sean Paul Ashley
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social
10d
"This war would not be happening were it not for the revolution, and most importantly, the success of the non-violent, civilian movement that overthrew the authoritarian dictatorship of Omar Al-Bashir."

on the ongoing counterrevolution in Sudan
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Reposted by Sean Paul Ashley
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Elizabeth (Bit) Meehan, PhD @elizabethbitmeehan.com
10d
#polisky the absolute decimation of the social sciences cc @professormusgrave.bsky.social @mcopelov.bsky.social
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Reposted by Sean Paul Ashley
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Eun A Jo @eunajo.bsky.social
11d
Please send us your dissertations to be considered for the APSA Nuno P. Monteiro Dissertation Award in IR theory! Deadline is tomorrow, March 31, 2026.
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Open access here drive.google.com/file/d/1AmovDMMX2yeYk4aQ-mYYCGYHIBUr-TKj/view
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The finding has stark implications: while security force defection helps nonviolent movements in the short run, the medium and long term effects can be catastrophic for democracy.
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Military defectors in Sudan (2021) and Egypt (2013) hijacked democracy and reestablished authoritarian rule, while those in Libya (2011) and Yemen (2014) transformed nonviolent conflicts into civil war.
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However, while military defection often helps nonviolent revolutionaries to bring down dictators, it significantly increases the risk of coups and civil wars post-revolution.
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I find that the chief culprits are military defectors. Nonviolent revolutionaries often court military actors in the hope that they will defect from the regime and bring it crashing down.
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Nonviolent revolutions are often thought to usher in stable democracy. However, many supposedly democratic ‘springs’ become ‘winters’, with democratization derailed by coups and civil wars. Why?
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Excited to finally share my 🚨 new article 🚨 now online at
@jpeaceresearch.bsky.social “The Dark Side of Defection: Security Force Defectors and the Aftermath of Nonviolent Revolutions. academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/jopres/xjaf014/8497573?searchresult=1. Brief 🧵
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