Excited to finally share my 🚨 new article 🚨 now online at
@jpeaceresearch.bsky.social “The Dark Side of Defection: Security Force Defectors and the Aftermath of Nonviolent Revolutions. academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/jopres/xjaf014/8497573?searchresult=1. Brief 🧵

March 20, 2026 - 20:48 UTC

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Nonviolent revolutions are often thought to usher in stable democracy. However, many supposedly democratic ‘springs’ become ‘winters’, with democratization derailed by coups and civil wars. Why?
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I find that the chief culprits are military defectors. Nonviolent revolutionaries often court military actors in the hope that they will defect from the regime and bring it crashing down.
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