@aprivateguy.bsky.social

Independent, but vote mostly Blue, and never vote Red.

Wait until Canada renames the Great Lakes.

Lake Superior could be renamed, . . I don't know . . maybe . .
"Lake Fuck Trump."
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Feel like the Iranians wanted Vance to negotiate because they heard he opposed the war. What they did not consider is that he has no deeply held opinion beyond the need for his own advancement and only the most superficial interest in public policy and governing.
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When Trump became president Strait was open and Iran’s nuclear program was contained, now we are war to reopen Strait and contain Iran’s nuclear program AND our military is depleted & humiliated, our economic & military & diplomatic alliances shattered, and Trump has lost all touch with reality.
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1968: We had to destroy the village in order to save it

2026: We had to blockade the Strait in order to open it up
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A brief halt benefits Iran "even if the US gives none of the discussed concessions. If the war restarts, Iran still maintains control of Hormuz, got a pause to assess the damage and catch their breath, and gained some diplomatic points with China, which reportedly pushed Iran to accept a ceasefire."
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We literally have no authority to tell other country’s ships that they can’t use the Strait and I dread what those countries will do if we try.
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i'm old enough to remember when blockading the strait of hormuz was enough for donald trump to justify wiping out an entire civilization
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We are only now starting to see countries legitimately run out of oil. Since the start of the war, it has been countries desperately trying to conserve in the hope that the Strait will be reopened.

No idea what happens when the markets actually confront this reality, but it won't be good.
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Remember when we had a deal with Iran to limit their development of nuclear weapons?
Remember when Trump tore up the deal?
And now Trump is blocking oil shipments through Hormuz because he can't get Iran to trust him.
America is being led by a moron.
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So a Chinese oil tanker pays Iran the toll and progresses through the Strait, accompanied by a Chinese warship.

The US Navy orders it to stop.

We have arrived at our Franz Ferdinand moment.
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#Trump is the most imbecilic leader of a country ever. Change my mind.
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If Melania *really* thought people were lying about her relationship with Jeffrey Epstein, she would have sued them for defamation to clear her name under oath, not deliver a lame speech full of lies for television.”
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So Iran retains its nuclear program AND we might end up in a war with China over the Strait. It’s going sooooo well.
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Iran: We will blockade the straits of Hormuz if you attack us.

Donald: No, WE will blockade the straits of Hormuz unless you surrender to us.

Iran: Ok. That might save us some trouble tbh.
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UPDATE
• Trump: US to Blockade Hormuz
• Pakistan talks failed
• Trump: All or nothing
• US, Iran delegations left Islamabad
• UAE: Hormuz’s “not Iran’s to close”
• Israel prepares for war to resume
• Israel strikes Lebanon, raid in South
• Ceasefire expires04/22
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Iran: We're not letting any ships pass through the Strait.

Trump: No, WE'RE not letting any ships pass through the Strait!

Iran: Oh, okay. Thank you.

Trump: Had enough yet?!
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There is now no dispute, that this President is the worst President in the history of America.
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We have entered the “you can’t kill me if I commit suicide” phase of American Decline
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Reposted by
taniel.bsky.social's profile picture
Taniel @taniel.bsky.social
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Record numbers of voters are going to the polls in Hungary today for the country’s national elections, which could dislodge Viktor Orban—the far-right leader allied to far-right parties worldwide—from power.

We’ll start getting returns after polls close, so after 1pm ET today.
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Bot activity is picking up again. MAGA accounts (many of them automated or coordinated) are flooding social media with AI photos and videos right now. Two things they’re pushing hard is fake crowd shots to make massive protests look empty, and fabricated imagery to make peaceful demonstrators
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BBC: Trump posted a letter from evangelical leader Franklin Graham assuring him that his 'soul is secure,' following remarks in which Trump questioned his chances of reaching heaven.

Fortunately, Franklin Graham isn't heaven's gatekeeper.
#ProudBlue #Pinks #SheShed #VoteOutRepublicans
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So, let’s game this out. A Chinese flagged tanker pays the toll and transits the strait. We interdict it? What if the tanker is escorted by a Chinese warship?
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Solving the problem of Iran blocking the strait of Hormuz by mounting your own blockade of the strait of Hormuz is the kind of inspired genius thinking that only a tacky failed real estate mind could think of. Checkmate, woke libs.
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Trump at a UFC event last night told fighter Paulo Costa he’s too good-looking to fight.

“You’re a beautiful guy. You could be a model, you look so good.”

This was what Trump was doing as negotiations with Iran imploded.
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Current status of the Strait of Hormuz dispute
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Today, Hungarians are voting. These elections loom large the world over. Viktor Orbán is a central figure in the international far right and his loss would be blow to familiar figures like JD Vance and Donald Trump, who are his pupils.
snyder.substack.com/p/the-hungarian-candidate
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We’ve gone from “I don’t care if they reopen the Strait” to “we’ll destroy your civilization if you don’t reopen the strait” to “well if THEY don’t reopen the strait then WE are going to blockade it ourselves.”

What an extraordinarily embarrassing moment for this country.
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#Hungary
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I truly hope the people of Hungary can finally get rid of Dictator Orban tomorrow.
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I thought Trump said a few days ago that Iran was begging him for a deal?
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So now we go back to bombing them until they agree to the deal Obama had that Trump tore up… and open up the strait that was open before we attacked them?

Continuing a war we “already won”?

Do we have that right?
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