Matt McDermott @mattmfm.bsky.social

Democratic Strategist • LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Board • Senior Vice President @ Whitman Insight Strategies

matthewfmcdermott.com

My “not a witness to any Epstein crimes” shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my shirt.
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If Democrats are really on track to win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat by 20 points, it’s a five-alarm fire for the GOP heading into November.
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As news breaks that Iran has shot down a U.S. fighter jet, a reminder:

Donald Trump said, verbatim, in his prime time speech this week: “They have no antiaircraft equipment.”

The president’s lies put American lives at risk.
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Oil prices skyrocketed during Trump’s speech.
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“Not clear what the purpose of this Trump speech was,” is the recap from NBC News.
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To recap, Americans have seen the largest monthly increase in gas prices ever recorded and Donald Trump has absolutely no plan to reopen the Straight of Hormuz.
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Donald Trump looks and sounds physically unwell. Why are the American people not receiving more information about the health condition of a clearly ailing president?
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While you were sleeping, the Senate unanimously passed what Democrats pushed for over a month: fund TSA and other essential agencies but withhold funding for ICE until there’s substantial reform.

Republicans made America suffer for nothing.
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Legislative seats that Democrats have flipped since Trump returned to office: 30

Legislative seats that Republicans have flipped since Trump returned to office: 0

Via @the-downballot.com
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Not one, but two red to blue flips in Florida tonight with Democrats winning in districts Donald Trump dominated just last cycle.
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The most amazing story isn’t just that Democrats flipped a Trump +12 seat from red to blue — it’s that Trump literally voted by mail in this election while arguing mail in voting should be illegal for everyone else.
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It’s genuinely difficult to watch Pete Hegseth’s unhinged, belligerent performance in this press conference and not question whether he’s publicly intoxicated.
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We’ve now learned that less than 3 hours after the White House posted this grotesque video comparing war to a video game, a KC-135 refueling aircraft went down and 4 U.S. airmen were killed.

This war is becoming the most poorly planned, mismanaged disaster in American history.
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It’s six months until the midterms and Donald Trump’s message to voters is that skyrocketing gas prices are good, actually.
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Just jaw-dropping that Donald Trump, the man who rode affordability anxiety to the White House, told the Speaker of the House to focus on culture war issues because “no one gives a shit about housing.”
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There it is.
Trump’s “Mission Accomplished” moment.
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Huge win for James Talarico in Texas tonight.

Democrats: it’s time to come together and make 2026 the year we flip Texas and take back the Senate.
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Wow: under the radar special election in Arkansas tonight for House District 70, a GOP-held seat in suburban Little Rock.

Democrat Alex Holladay with a huge 27-point win over Republican Bryan Renshaw.

Another red to blue flip for Democrats.
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These Texas primary numbers are incredibly good for any Democrat who wants to put Texas on the map this November.
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Never forget those who enabled this.
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Donald Trump ran on lowering prices, releasing the Epstein files, and ending foreign wars. In two years he rolled out illegal tariffs that raised prices, engaged in a cover up of the Epstein files, and incited war across the entire Middle East.
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Trump is babbling. Democrats are winning.

Overperforming by 37 points in tonight’s Pennsylvania House special election.
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To recap: The guy who ran on lowering costs, ending foreign wars, and releasing the Epstein files has instead illegally rolled out tariffs that raise prices, brought us to the brink of war in Iran, and forced his DOJ to hide the Epstein files.
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The Supreme Court rules 6–3 that Donald Trump has been illegally taxing Americans, and instead of complying with the law he immediately imposes a new 10% tax on all imported goods. It’s open defiance of the Constitution and another bill handed straight to working families.
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Seems important to note that last summer the Trump administration emphatically claimed there was “no evidence” to justify investigating uncharged third parties in the Epstein files.

So were they wrong, or were they lying?
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Just an astoundingly bad AP poll for Trump

• 36% overall job approval
• 72% disapprove of Greenland threats
• 66% describe economy as doing poorly
• 60% unfavorable view of ICE

Cannot stress enough: the vast majority of Americans think this presidency is a failure.
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It is simply journalistic malpractice at this point to treat anything Trump officials say as factual. Even in sworn court filings, under penalty of perjury, officials have repeatedly been caught lying and hiding evidence to gaslight the American people.
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Trump won on one promise: fix the economy.

Two years later, job growth has cratered and Americans feel worse than they did before he took office.

Voters will remember in November.
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Hard to take national security lectures seriously from an administration that confused a party balloon for a foreign drone and erroneously shut down airspace over a major metropolitan area for a week.
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It’s hard to even watch Pam Bondi’s behavior today. Chaos was clearly the strategy. But Americans have real questions about the Epstein scandal and when the Attorney General responds with childish contempt, it raises the obvious question: why is she protecting pedophiles?
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