A ceasefire with still throttled (no more than 15 ships daily) Hormuz throughput well serves Tehran's strategic interest.
Iran's main leverage is a closed Strait + time, so building another 2 weeks of pressure on the global economy while not being bombed feels ideal from the Iranian perspective.
Maybe China's system of the government controlling who can become a billionaire is less bad than America's system of the billionaires controlling who can be in government.
I don't know what's going on here or what's true, but "Trump goes into racketeering business with Iran" is probably NOT the desired outcome of the other countries in the region.
I genuinely think a joint regime change plan for the US is probably the most logical course of action for Israel, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE at this point. Another US leader might not have fought this war but no one else would have switched to the Iranianâs side overnight like this
Iâm telling you, the best way to understand this ceasefire is that Trump, faithless and feckless as always, saw Iran winning the war and wanted to be on the winning side.
I donât mean to sound controversial, but a president shouldnât be able to walk away from threatening to wipe out an entire civilization and then justâŚyou knowâŚkeep being viewed as a normal president. Seems he should always be âthe guy who threatened a genocide.â Anyway, sorry to ruffle feathers.
Under international law, "genocide" is such a fraught term because it requires showing 'dolus specialis,' or proof that perpetrators specifically aimed to destroy a national, ethnic, racial, or religious group.
Trump or someone on Trump's team intentionally crafted this to meet that standard.
This is a supervillain monlogue. I will never understand how anyone can watch this man say things like âa whole civilization will die tonightâ and fail to recognize evil when they see it.
Me, joking: I canât believe we chose âdestroying the economyâ and âlosing warsâ over âbeing nice to trans people occasionallyâ
Conservatives, dead serious: it was a tough choice, but Iâm glad we picked âdestroying the economyâ and âlosing warsâ over âbeing nice to trans people occasionallyâ
Nothing I could say about the GOP base is as illustrative as the fact that Trump understands that posting black people in what his audience considers a âwhite spaceâ will make them incandescently angry bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3misgsp36jc2v
A big part of Donald Trump's appeal among his ~30%, ride-or-die core is that he's the first president to be sincerely, authentically stupid and incurious in the exact same way as the fabled Median Voter. *Nothing* about his unintelligence is a gimmick or a put-on.