Foreign Policy Research Institute @fpri.bsky.social

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Mohammed A. Salih explains how the US-Israeli war on Iran has brought not only 600 drone and missile attacks to the Kurdistan Region, but also consequential media leaks designed to shape narratives and influence political agendas.
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Reposted by Foreign Policy Research Institute
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András Tóth-Czifra @minczifra.bsky.social
10h
The weekend is here and @bearmarketbrief.bsky.social is out! Read about the significance of this Sunday's Hungarian election for the Kremlin, floods, liquidity problems in regional budgets, the front, drones and more!

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open.substack.com/pub/bearmarketbrief/p/hungary-for-change?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=7eptg
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As global markets require enhanced energy security more than ever, experts point out that the time to turn to electrification is now. However, the energy shock from the Iran war could tip the world into stagflation and prevent this very development from coming to fruition. buff.ly/mQXPub9
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"Videos and images from Operation Epic Fury demonstrate how American long-endurance drones are being used to identify, monitor, and destroy Iranian air defenses—and in some cases pass data to other shooters in the region to destroy surface-to-air missiles."
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Catch up on the latest #BearMarketBrief before the next edition comes out!
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In an episode of Facing Coming Storms, Nikolas Gvosdev shares what insights Operation Epic Fury provides us regarding the nature of modern warfare.
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Learn about what Israel's formal recognition of Somaliland means and how it lays out a path for other countries to follow suit.
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Tune in to episode 2 of #ShiftingGround for a conversation on how geopolitical cycles, political polarization, and the overextension of prevailing powers threaten the foundation of international stability.
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"Existential consequences of the conflict loom over the Baltic countries, which have tread a careful line in response to US-Israeli strikes. Maintaining a strong relationship with the United States is crucial as they seek to keep international attention on Russia’s war in Ukraine."
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Colin Clarke discusses the strategic communication blunders of the Trump administration in defining the goals of the war against Iran and navigating talks to end the conflict. buff.ly/jAqm2Ir
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🆕”How War with Iran Undermines Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific” by Taehwa Hong.
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Thursday, April 16 at 1:00 EDT: Join FPRI's Eurasia Program for a discussion on Hungarian elections and their implications for liberal democracy in Europe.
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Shikoko Goto addresses changes in the Japan-US relationship amid the Iran war, tariff pressures, silence on China as a regional threat, and nuclear collaboration opportunities. buff.ly/cQSYc8Q
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"The United States may find that in this new era, compulsion can create compliance in the short run, but genuine consultation creates institutions and arrangements with longevity and the power to solve transnational challenges." #Orbis
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"Estimates find that nearly 2,000 African men were promised a set of benefits for falsely advertised contracts as drivers, cleaners, security guards, and mechanics: a monthly stipend of 179,300 rubles, a signing bonus of 1,059,600 rubles, and Russian citizenship."
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"Minesweeping the Strait of Hormuz will be slow and dangerous. The US Navy has only three Combat Ships with mine countermeasure modules, and two are undergoing maintenance. Therefore, Iran can block shipping in the Strait of Hormuz until it has what it wants from the US and Israel."
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Today, as the international order adapts to an erratic environment, revisit the models of globalization in "Globalization, Real and Imagined" from the archives of #Orbis.
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Rob Lee and Dmytro Putiata explain how the Russian 2nd Combined Arms Army’s Drone Line is more systematically organized to employ strike uncrewed aerial systems in support of offensive operations instead of having each regiment's assets focus on its own area of responsibility.
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"The government’s heavy-handed approach has worsened public mood enough to damage the approval ratings of both the governing United Russia party and Vladimir Putin himself." Read more on Russia's Telegram ban in the latest #BearMarketBrief. buff.ly/01z0av0
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Bruce Pannier details how Kyrgyzstan's energy needs and electricity shortages have led to planning and collaboration with Russia's nuclear power company, Rosatom.
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If you missed yesterday's virtual event, catch up on YouTube.
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Maximilian Hess discusses the implications of the war in Iran on Russian-Iranian relations with Al Jazeera. buff.ly/I4vZ2Zy
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🆕 The Death of the International Order? by Janine Davidson
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"The USAF has localized air superiority, so large and lumbering drones are able to operate deep inside Iran. However, as was the case during Operation Rough Rider in Yemen, even disparate and poorly operated air defense can target these drones."
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Thursday, April 16 at 1:00 PM EDT: Join the FPRI Eurasia Program for a pertinent discussion of the outcome of Hungary's upcoming parliamentary election.
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"While Ukraine typically leads in initial technological innovation, Russia has proven effective at copying these advancements and scaling them through systemic experiments across various military districts."
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"More concerning from the Baltic standpoint is Moscow picking up on discord among allies. Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur stressed: 'This is the time to build bridges, and we cannot lose our unity.'” More in the latest #BalticRoundup.
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Nikolas Gvosdev unpacks Operation Epic Fury and what it tells us about modern warfare in an episode of Facing Coming Storms. Tune in for the full discussion on how wars actually unfold today and why the systems we’ve relied on for decades might not hold up anymore.
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In a documentary by Central News Asia Insider, FPRI Asia Program Director Shikoko Goto discusses shifts in Japan's partnership with the United States amid the war in Iran, tariff uncertainties, potential nuclear sharing, and US silence on China-Japan relations. buff.ly/PEq39QJ
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🆕 "Preparing for Simultaneity" by Dov S. Zakheim.
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