Planetary foresight and personal climate strategies.

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Start here → https://alexsteffen.substack.com/p/foresight-is-no-longer-a-luxury

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The next Personal Climate Strategy Workshop begins 4/14/26.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/theres-nothing-else-like-this-anywhere
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
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“This wave isn’t going away. It’s going to keep building, because the climate crisis is now the context for every important decision we make — where to live, what to invest in, which career bets to place, when to move, what to hold onto and what to let go.”

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/the-coming-climate-wave
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
This piece is kicking up some dust.

More and more upwardly mobile people who've trusted suburban homeownership and rising incomes to secure their future are now finding their lives getting brittle as the climate crisis worsens.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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“This wave isn’t going away. It’s going to keep building, because the climate crisis is now the context for every important decision we make — where to live, what to invest in, which career bets to place, when to move, what to hold onto and what to let go.”

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/the-coming-climate-wave
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
What if the chaos isn’t going away?

What if all this isn’t just a rough patch?

What if this is the world we have to learn to live in, now?

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/the-patterns-behind-the-chaos
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
There not being a normal is the new normal.
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What if the chaos isn’t going away?

What if all this isn’t just a rough patch?

What if this is the world we have to learn to live in, now?

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/the-patterns-behind-the-chaos
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There not being a normal is the new normal.
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
Wow! This essay is becoming one of the more popular things I've written since I started my newsletter.

It's about the danger of having done well enough to feel we're safe from the climate crisis, when in fact our prosperity is built on risk and brittleness.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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I hadn't seen this before. This is pretty remarkable.

Earth and Moon in one NASA photo.

ht @astrokatie.com
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Wow! This essay is becoming one of the more popular things I've written since I started my newsletter.

It's about the danger of having done well enough to feel we're safe from the climate crisis, when in fact our prosperity is built on risk and brittleness.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
"This essay is about a different kind of danger — the danger not of having nothing, but of having enough to feel safe while being deeply exposed."
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
New:

Why being relatively well-off doesn't necessarily make you safe from the economic brittleness of the climate chaos — but it does make the risk you face harder to see.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
Yes.

But it's not ignorance, or magical thinking, or ideological blinders. Not primarily.

It's predatory delay.

It's the intentional sabotage of science and policy to make climate action harder and thereby prolong the profits of oil, gas and other high-carbon and unsustainable industries.
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"This essay is about a different kind of danger — the danger not of having nothing, but of having enough to feel safe while being deeply exposed."
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New:

Why being relatively well-off doesn't necessarily make you safe from the economic brittleness of the climate chaos — but it does make the risk you face harder to see.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
"The decisions they’re being forced to face — where to live, what to invest in, when to move — are the highest-stakes decisions of their lives, being made in the midst of some of the largest climate and ecological upheavals in human history."
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
These assholes are going to try to destroy every effort we have going to stop climate change.

All is not lost, but things are likely going to get much worse before they just become a massive, all-encompassing discontinuity we are forced to learn to try to manage.

heatmap.news/politics/wind-executive-order-trump
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Part of that power grab is building business models to try to profit off of climate chaos, and trying to buy up all the assets growing scarcer and more valuable in a discontinuity (arable land, fresh water, rare minerals, safer real estate, etc)

www.motherjones.com/environment/2025/01/trump-climate-crisis-insurance-americans-warming/
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At the core of this regime we find support for Putin, predatory delay/pumping up near-term US fossil fuel production at all costs (even a war?) and facilitating an oligarchic grab for power.

If you follow the money, that's where it leads.

bsky.app/profile/alexsteffen.bsky.social/post/3lchsy7pj722q
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Yes.

But it's not ignorance, or magical thinking, or ideological blinders. Not primarily.

It's predatory delay.

It's the intentional sabotage of science and policy to make climate action harder and thereby prolong the profits of oil, gas and other high-carbon and unsustainable industries.
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"The decisions they’re being forced to face — where to live, what to invest in, when to move — are the highest-stakes decisions of their lives, being made in the midst of some of the largest climate and ecological upheavals in human history."
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
The slightly longer answer is that at this moment, the truly big choices are still in front of us. The difference between the best possible and worst possible outcomes ahead are staggeringly vast.

Giving up before we fight for the best outcomes available is unwise and unethical.
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Once again:

No, it is not "too late."

We are nowhere near the end of the story.

And most people who want you to believe these are the final chapters have irons to grind.

Read this thread for more...
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
alexsteffen.bsky.social's profile picture
Lots of Doomer "real talk" rn.

That mostly involves fearlessly (and falsely) declaring other (younger, poorer) people's lives hopeless.

"I am intellectually brave enough to decide you don't have a future" is a pretty crap, as profiles in courage...
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This piece is kicking up some dust.

More and more upwardly mobile people who've trusted suburban homeownership and rising incomes to secure their future are now finding their lives getting brittle as the climate crisis worsens.

alexsteffen.substack.com/p/resilient-on-paper
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Reposted by Alex Steffen
bikesaregood.bsky.social's profile picture
"None of the people I care most about are wealthy enough to have climate-level fuck you money."
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