The Greens have now overtaken both the Conservatives and Labour, according to the latest polling average
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That's what happens when you offer people something they want. Funny that.
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Great to see NF’s party continuing its spiral of decline. People are waking up to the poison of racism and the hollowness of Reform’s other alleged policies.
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Surprised Labour is still so low. Starmer has handled Trump and Iran really well. Are people actually aware of this? The Farage fluffers of the media won't educate, especially Robbie Gibb's BBC.
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The problem is the government may be doing a few things moderately well, but they are big blockers to the changes the country needs and wants.
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Handled it well? Egging to get involved at the start - fortunately the law and wiser heads in the cabinet held him back. Not once has he called for a full and complete cessation from the aggressors in the conflict.
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That just isn’t true, his ‘defensive bombing only’ bullshit might fool some people but he’s still letting the USA use our bases to carry out an illegal war of aggression that is going to wreck our economy
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JFC. Genocide enablers, cutting welfare, demonising trans people and preparing the exact same playbook for ND people. Handing over our data to Palantir, right to protest, right to trial, ID fvcking cards the list of cvntish things they are doing is fucking endless. And the constant gaslighting...
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They had their opportunity and blew it by aping reform. They have to be dragged kicking and screaming to make a good decision having obstinately refused for months and months.
Labour like the Tories are likely dead
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People aren’t all that keen on him supporting a genocidal state?
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Is this supposed to be a joke?

Do you simply not distinguish between appearance and reality?

Is it your view that only media management matters, never substance?

Let them eat spin?

Fffs.
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Not really, Spain has done way better and we're dragging our heels to arrive at the same point. People just aren't buying the "defensive bombing" line.

We should be sanctioning the US (and Israel) not facilitating their activities and providing safe harbour.
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Let me try to help. Under no foreseeable circumstances will I vote for a party that has implemented two morally obnoxious sets of Tory party policies – on asylum seeking immigrants, and on transgender. No, these are not niche issues. These are human rights issues.
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Shouldn't that be Beegee'sC ?
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How one in 4 are still voting for Farage and his far-right nutjobs at this time is beyond belief.
The Trump fluffers in the RW press/MSM, especially Robbie Gibb's BBC, are doing a "great job" in getting the Fagash Fuhrer on his way into No 10. Lets face it. We are fucked if he waltzes into DS.
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It is so, so soul-destroying to see how high Reform are.
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But they are steadily trending downwards now.
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Over 3 years to go before the next GE. Who knows 🤔
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Economist poll aggregator for same date:

Reform 25
Labour 19
Conservative 18
Green 16
Libdem 12
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DeformUK had expected to win this seat when they nominated their candidate 😄
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Now they have to overtake the teal fascists of reform!
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Polls 3 years before a GE Adam 🙄

Waste of time.
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I assume the poll doesn't make you happy
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There are elections in just a short number of weeks, John.
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Way back, the (then minority) hardline unionist DUP and Sinn Fein respectively overtook the (relatively moderate) Ulster Unionist Party and nationalist SDLP to become the mainstream majority parties in Northern Ireland.

That shift up-ended politics in the region to this day.

This feels similar...
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The UUP is not a moderate party. They created the UVF, the one party state, gerrymandering, discrimination in housing and employment, they created the RUC, the A Specials, the B Specials, the C Specials, the Special Powers Act and internment.
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The times are’a changing, my friend 👍👍👍👍
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Expecting an excited Chris Mason opinion piece about this seismic political moment any day now.
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Promising the world ....
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So the choices are the far left or the far right now.
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woop! 🎉🤘
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I can hear those "journos" sharpening their knives, even though their views aren't being listened to. Welcome to the future rw rags
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Green/Lib dem coalition looking likely…
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I hope not!! Substantial differences! Particularly on nuclear weapons
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I wouldn’t be too surprised if the Tories become junior partners of reform after next GE. Heck, I could even see Labour pulling that off if the Starmerites have their say. It seems to me that LibDems learned their lesson from last time and won’t join Tories again. Only strong Greens can avoid this
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Swapping one fantasy for another
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This is Bluesky, 79 ball boy. You're looking for Threads. Go right down the road past the potholes, turn right at the paedophile diplomat, turn right at the genocide, sharp right at the transphobia, do a couple of U-turns and you're there at Labour Threads.
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I don’t believe Reform is scoring that high still.
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Nowhere to go but up while everyone else sinks into the dirt
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Your actual electoral system of FPTP makes percentage polling completely useless to predict the seat outcome.
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True, I saw one giving Reform 24% vs Green 20%, yet this equated to about double the seats
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We know. Right now, 25% could net a party zero seats, 50 seats or 350 seats.
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Which is brilliant but who the fuck are the twats still opting for the farage shit show?

Sorry for the swearing but the support for that wanker and his apostles of fuckwittedness enrages me.
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I think we need to invent a new set of expletives because the current really bad ones just don't feel strong enough for the occasion anymore. 😂
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I think it's made up of an awful lot of justifiably angry people who want change from the stale politics of the last... how long? Decades? Centuries? Many will hopefully see Greens as a viable alternative which they don't feel embarrassed about voting for
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Racists.

Or those who have convinced themselves that voting for racists doesn't actually make them racist (Well done Keir)
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It’s because 25% of almost any country are just truly fucking horrible people who are easy to convince they’re the victims of the EU/immigrants/trans people/muslims/‘the woke’ as a distraction from having their pockets picked by the malignant billionaire parasites who own our politicians and media.
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No wonder reform poll so well in the breakdown of seats. Sad to see how brits love populism and even more disturbing to see voters views on nato and Russia
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we need to change the voting system, the next GE will be a total mess and chances are no one will be happy with the result.
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The ongoing PASOKification of Labour going well, then
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And will still end up behind both in national elections because voting intention/share does not translate under FPTP.
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Whose average is this? Look at the list of all polls on en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
and either look at their LOESS trendline, or work out your own average of the recent ones.
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Any poll will have 1% sampling error, 0.5% rounding error, and several percent systematic bias. You must look at time averages of many polls from several different companies, at least FON, MiC, YG and Opinium, which publish weekly or fortnightly. Others are too sporadic to give a decent time series.
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Excellent news!
The UK so desperately needs decent politicians addressing the big calls instead of the morons in LabourConservativeFartage!
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You wouldn't know it from much of the coverage but Reform are now seven points lower in the polls, on average, than they were six months ago
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Hey, where does that graphic come from? I’d love to be able to look closer at these trends
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Peaked too soon. Getting found out. Too close to Trump.
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It’s not low enough
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All those flags on lamp posts didn't work, then?
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Even the sodding @theguardian.com promotes #ReformUK @pippacrerar.bsky.social and its sad, no longer a bastion of liberal journalism
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The BBC will undoubtedly be downgrading their coverage of Reform as result…………….
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Putting forward candidates claiming to be academics only to find they have to use AI to write a book that is littered with lies and misinformation doesn’t help.
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Sadly, using Wikipedia's LOESS rolling average, they're only 6% down - that peaked at 32% in, and is now on 26%. Between their fall and the Greens' rise, we are set for a hung Parliament, and it's anyone's guess who'd come second.
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Can’t wait to see those green and blue lines cross over.
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The media can't fathom that though, Reform can only ever be "soaring" in the polls.
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Hallelujah
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The trend indicates the Greens took support from the facists. Does that reflect the Green policies?
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This direction of travel is a beautiful thing ..
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Leaving nato must be popular over here as well as with the tango Mussolini
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It is. You would have to be truly insane to continue relying on NATO with Trump in the White House, instead of working with our European allies on our defence and security needs. Which makes pretty much all English parties bar the Greens insane. And don’t think this will pass when Trump goes.
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1️⃣ The #UK hasn’t definitely got a two party system anymore.
2️⃣ With representatives elected per district & so many parties participating, the UK should seriously consider ranked choice voting.
3️⃣ #Reform seems to be in decline. Hurray
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Please could you tell me the source for this? I want to use it but need to know what to quote
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Well done Green Party! A well deserved advance. Telling the truth pays dividends after all!
Delighted to see ReformUK on a downwards trajectory towards an incoherent mush of hate and idiocy.
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So centre left have majority in poll? Where’s all this right wing surge ?
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and Reform Ltd continues its downward slide under Farage.
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47% are into populist politics shocker.
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The learned @timbale.bsky.social describes what Starmer has inflicted on the Labour Party as "what you might call "the parasitoid wasp scenario" - newcomers act in their own interest, transforming the party into something it's not and, in so doing, end up effectively killing it."
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Interesting...I wonder what this might signal for the local elections, if it gnaws at Reform's victory laps, i'm all for it, i wonder what they'll be doing about it too.

They can't exactly attack the incumbent government if they're too busy flipping out because the oh-so-scary greens roll em over.
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I hope that Reform gets a lot less seats than the media seem to think and that the Greens make a big impact here, that would rock the boat substantially, perhaps even force the crazies into acting in a way that exposes them for the snots they are, ultimately doing Reform even more harm.
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FPTP will produce some strange results if that pattern holds. Tactical voting would be crucial.
Good to see Reform’s downward trajectory though.
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I suspect Labour are at least one large defeat away from the having the humility required for tactical voting to really work.

Tis but a scratch.
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If you look back at the by elections that reform just lost, you will see that voters use tactical voting to defeat them. why are labour are so keen to win back votes from reform, and not at all interested in the votes they are bleeding to the greens?
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Statistically the Greens, Labour and Tories are the same.

But what I am here for is the continuing and accelerating decline of reform.
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Plus only five points behind Reform.
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Greens the only party actually rising in popularity.

Huh
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Labour is below the disaster that is the Tories?😵‍💫😵‍💫😵‍💫
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I'm not convinced that will survive some daylight...
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Deals are needed to keep Reform out.
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