Had he done so it’s almost certain he’d have won, keeping the Tories out for another 5 years and allowing time to properly manage the fallout from the financial meltdown that was coming

Cameron, on the other hand, would’ve been toast along with his brand of “compassionate conservatism”

February 22, 2026 - 16:00 UTC

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So most likely the Tories would’ve swung back to the right sooner, quite possibly keeping them out for even longer. They might even have split, with the UKIP types heading over to Farage. Certainly Brexit wouldn’t have happened

I often think that PMs are as defined by the decisions they don’t make
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Cameron , for me, will always be defined by his failure to call the europhobics’ bluff (unlike Major), which led to the referendum, and then buggering off leaving “Brexit” to be defined by the headbangers

May likewise was haunted by the idea that conservative “unity” took priority over the country
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