People are going to tell you that the 2020 number is soft because of transferable votes but she still scored an absolute majority in a year the other party won by 9.1 and also the Presidency.

April 10, 2026 - 04:18 UTC

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Her 2020 victory was solid. But at the same time, plus 36.9% to plus 8.59% is a precipitous decline, and that was before Roe v. Wade was overturned. But I agree with your overarching point that people are underrating her chances.
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How do you reconcile that with the probability that 2026 is a better year than 2020 for Democrats, and Maine has demonstrably moved to the left year over year since 2020?
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And also Collins was always polling well against opposition always and this cycle she is not
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Planter's primary appeal isn't on a left-right axis, it's on a populist-establishment axis.
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Platner voted for Collins every chance he got. 5 Times. I bet he voted for Trump at least once. Why do you think he was a republican until recently and now he’s running as a Democrat even tho he’s not one
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By saying that gives Democrats a shot at a pickup.
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Absolutely dialed in constituent services operations are an overlooked driver of election results.
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