“Tactically he uses distraction, bluster and aggression to keep the opposition off balance” - that is just not plausible at all. Trump the master manipulator - it’s nonsense. Exactly the coherence fallacy we need to avoid.
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Tactics vs strategy. I understood your point to be that Trump operates chaotically and lacks a grand strategy. If so, I agree. But are you arguing that Trump doesn’t engage in tactical manipulation? He does.

You contend it is dangerous to assign coherence to Trump. I agree.
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But it is equally dangerous to assume he is incapable of manipulation and other actions in service to his goal which is self aggrandizement. Such an assumption would render him a foolish blip in time.

I assume you are not extending your argument that far.
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