This is correct and worth calling out explicitly: there is no evidence that Iran has "lost" this material. The depending-on-how-you-look-at-it much worse answer is that Iran knows exactly where it is and is working away at it.

To be extraordinarily clear, this is also not an Iraq-2003 situation.
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The stupidity of these Nazi supporters is staggering. Cults are dangerous.
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The "Iran may be working away at it" answer may get more attention--or less--depending on what the IAEA board requests from the Secretariat & Iran, and how Iran may respond.
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Risk to US forces, instability in the ME -- Yes, that is all reminiscent of 2003.

In 2003, the Iraqis did not have a NW program, much less enriched U, and we thought they did.

In 2025, the Iranians may not have had an active NW program but had enriched U and may absolutely be restarting one now.
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(As I think about it)

Another difference: we had a completely working diplomatic solution to this entire thing that we decided to abandon in search of a better deal. We did not have that with Iraq either. In other words, we'd addressed this already and then decided to unaddress it.
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It’s remarkable that the attack was launched with so many unknowns - or am I missing something important?
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