This deal is so obviously unfavorable for Netanyahu it's surely virtually guaranteed he's going to try to sabotage it by attacking Lebanon and demanding the US support him

April 08, 2026 - 11:01 UTC

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on one hand its clear a rupture point exists SOMEWHERE on the possible spectrum of future events, but its inconvceivable that either the US or Israel is dumb enough to force that rupture.

...and i said the same thing about the petrodollar five years ago as well.
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i think it would be cool to have a decade where weeks happen, personally. i wanna see what that's like.
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Well well

bsky.app/profile/shipwreck75.bsky.social/post/3miyinxqlrc26
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i got the distinct impression that the israelis had decided to simply annex southern lebanon. it’s lovely that iran has decided to save israel from itself but also 🤮
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well well well

bsky.app/profile/harshawalia.bsky.social/post/3miyoprvhoc2p
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It will be *incredibly* surprising if he last the two weeks without attacking a residential building
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if videos from beirut are any indication, he possibly did not quite last a twelfth hour before doing so.
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Really thinking this is a window for a few hundred of the ships trapped in the gulf to get out and nothing more
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