School shootings are awful but they are not highly likely events

April 10, 2026 - 16:27 UTC

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School shootings in the U.S. have been steadily increasing, not decreasing. They are indeed highly likely events and have taken place in nearly every single state, with California alone experiencing over 220 of them since 1966. They are likely, and becoming even more likely, every single year.
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Increasing, taking place in most states sure. But they are low probability, not statistically highly likely. I don’t think you’re defining that word the way most would. Each is highly consequential and one is obviously one too many. But not a helpful exaggeration.
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